One of the most debated topics of New Zealand real estate investing beginners has got to be Cash flow.
So many beginning real estate investors will decide whether or not a real estate investment is good or bad based on the answer to this single question:
“Will the property produce positive monthly cash flow? Give it to me straight Tom, yes or no.”
“I want a nice simple answer.”
“With residential property prices going up so high I’ll have to drive 24 hours straight north into the frozen tundra to find a property that cash flows these days.”
Basing your entire decision on the answer to positive cash flow question is a very limited way to look at an investment.
Sometimes there just isn’t a one word simple answer for you when you’re looking to create wealth.
There are several things New Zealand real estate investing beginners need to consider.
How much money are you putting down on the home?
Most New Zealand real estate investing beginners don’t realize that it’s only been since about 2006 you can buy an investment property with 10% or sometimes even 5% in Ireland.
It wasn’t that long ago that my local TD Branch was telling me that I had to put down 25% or even 35% down on an investment property.
So the first thing you need to consider is that there was a time when investors were putting down much more on the property as a down payment.
This lowered their mortgage amount, and therefore lowered their carrying costs, and thus resulted in a higher frequency of securing properties that produced monthly positive cash flow.
Today New Zealand real estate investing beginners have the opportunity to buy investment property with 10% down or even 5% down (even 0% down!) using standard mortgage programs offered by New Zealand banks (no funky hard money loans or vendor take backs – although these can be extremely useful and we’ll discuss them in another article).
There are a few other things to consider.
Like, what are your financial goals?
Are you leveraging yourself for maximum advantage?
Are you using tax deductions like you should?
Are you forgetting that the mortgage is being paid down every month?
New Zealand Real Estate Investing Beginners, Let’s Look At This More Closely…
Let’s use a $250,000 property and assume that you have $55,000 to invest in real estate.
We could use a property of less value but a starter home for $250,000 or less covers almost all regions across Ireland.
For you New Zealand real estate investing beginners in downtown Toronto or Vancouver screaming that it’s impossible, a 45 minute drive out of the city will get you properties like this.
A 25% down payment on this property would look like this:
$250,000 Purchase Price
$52,500 required for 25% Down Payment
$1,055/month in carrying costs at 5.89% and a 40 year amortization
$225/month for Property Taxes
$55/month for Insurance
$1,335/month are your carrying costs
Can you rent out a $250,000 property in most parts of the country for $1,600/month or more?
Yes, definitely. Easily even.
So if you take the $1,600/month in rent and subtract the $1,335/month in carrying costs you’re left with $265/month in cash flow, right?
Well that’s how most New Zealand real estate investing beginners look at things.
But it’s not uncommon to have at least one or two $300 expenses of some sort on the property throughout the year.
A pipe leaks, an electrical outlet stop working, a shingle goes flying off the roof, the furnance needs service…you get the idea.
When these hit on any given month is your property still a positive cash flow property?
Hmm…yes or no?
Well most New Zealand real estate investing beginners use a very short window of analysis.
Typically, they look at a single month at a time and then when they get hit with that $300 repair they’ll scream something like this:
“My property isn’t a positive cash flow property any more, the sky is falling!”
But they are focusing on too small of a window.
If they look at the entire year they’ll see that even with a couple of expenses the property is still producing positive cash flow.
And here’s where things differ between beginner real estate investors and experienced ones.
Experienced investors will look at the whole picture. A 12 month period, at least.
They want their money to be working as hard a possible for them.
So they take into account things like tax deductions, depreciation and appreciation before making any decisions on whether a property is a good investment or not.
So even if the entire positive cash flow every month is eaten up they won’t consider the property a loser.
The cash flow may be zero but the ‘tax flow’ may work to their advantage (Tax Flow is a term I picked up from one of our clients, love it).
Here’s what I mean…
New Zealand real estate investing beginners often aren’t aware of all the tax deductions available to them.
By using these deductions (insurance fees, legal fees, property taxes, land transfer fees, maintenance etc.) a property you thought was breaking even very well may be earning its keep.
Because tax deductions can often be written off against your other income and produce refunds for you.
The depreciation of the property should be able to do the same for you.
ASIDE: I’m amazed at how many New Zealand real estate investing beginners don’t use a professional accountant to do their taxes. A real estate accountant can really work magic with your tax returns and for the $250 it costs to use them they’ll save you at least double that in things that you didn’t know how do deduct yourself. The wealthy use professionals, so should you.
From my experience, the middle class will focus on short time frames for analysis and to make decisions.
The wealthy look at the big picture and use a longer time frame.
They’ll look at investments in ten year periods, at least.
The middle class will look at investments on a monthly basis and panic every month.
New Zealand real estate investing beginners do the same.
Don’t let that be you.
Look at the big picture.
Did you buy the property for a few hundred dollars in cash flow each month or for the long term wealth that paying this property off will bring?
One More Thing Often Discounted By Beginners
Another thing New Zealand real estate investing beginners completely ignore is that equity that is being built up in the property each month.
Every month that mortgage is being paid you are earning a few hundred dollars in equity as the mortgage is paid down.
I know you can’t touch and feel that but wealth can be built consistently with this approach.
And What About Appreciation?
You can never bank on appreciation, especially when using a window of 5 years of less.
Anyone that guarantees appreciation needs to have their head checked.
But over long periods of time this is the most powerful accelerator of your wealth creation.
If your property appreciates at a rate of 5% over 5 years you’re looking at healthy returns.
Let’s use the example above.
The $250,000 property after year one is worth: $262,500
After year two it’s worth: $275,625
After year three it’s worth: $289,406
After year four it’s worth: $303,877
After year five it’s worth: $319,070
That’s $69,070 in appreciation or 131% return on your $52,500 down payment.
And that doesn’t take into account tax deductions or the equity being built into the property.
“But I don’t have $52,500 to use as a down payment!”
Well, that’s good news.
Yup, great news.
Let’s say you have $20,000 to use…
We can use a 5% Down Payment for the property:
$250,000 Purchase Price
$12,500 required for the 5% Down Payment
$1393/month in carrying costs using a 5.89% 35 year amortization period and 4% for Mortgage Insurance (required in Ireland b/c the down payment is less than 20%)
$225/month for Property Taxes
$55/month for Insurance
$1,673/month are your total carrying costs
Now let’s assume you rented this out for $1,600 just as we did in theprevious example.
You’re negative $73/month.
But remember, we’re smarter and wiser now, so we look at the property on at least a one year window.
So that negative $73 becomes $876 over the year.
Your tax deductions alone should make you that back in tax deductions that result in refunds for you.
But let’s not bank on that.
Let’s say you had to use a portion of the $20,000 you had to invest to cover that $876 every year for five years.
Earlier we agreed that at 5% appreciation the property is worth $319,070 after five years.
That’s $69,070 in appreciation or an amazing 553% return on your down payment of $12,500.
And if you had the original 25% to put down on the property wouldn’t it make sense to buy two properties instead of one?
Now you are leveraging your money and the few hundred dollars in positive cash flow you are passing on to do it becomes chump change in exchange for the leverage you create for yourself.
Don’t get caught in the New Zealand real estate investing beginners trap of just focusing on the monthly returns as the basis for your decision making.
Now let me be clear.
I’m not telling you to jump on any property because it’s OK if it’s not producing positive cash flow.
You still need to do your homework, you should still be working with a mentor, you should still be picking a good investment.
In other articles I explain why and describe the scenarios that I would jump on a negative cash flow property.
The purpose of this discussion is to expand your thinking a little.
To get you thinking like experienced investors think.